Southampton v Leicester: Match preview and expected starting XI

Leicester City's English striker Jamie Vardy (L) vies with Southampton's Polish defender Jan Bednarek (R) (Photo by NEIL HALL/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)
Leicester City's English striker Jamie Vardy (L) vies with Southampton's Polish defender Jan Bednarek (R) (Photo by NEIL HALL/POOL/AFP via Getty Images) /
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Ozan Tufan of Watford FC is tackled by Boubakary Soumare of Leicester City (Photo by Richard Heathcote/Getty Images) /

A Foxes supporter’s prediction

Using these statistics, we can predict the result of the match and also the starting XI. Regarding the match, let’s look at how the xG could favour us over the last five matches. I will exclude the Chelsea match and for Southampton I will exclude the Liverpool match as these are not characteristic of how the average team will play.

The Foxes have accumulated1.5 xG per match versus Southampton’s 1.4 xG per match. There is little to separate the two sides in terms of creativity. That being said, the return to form of the England international midfielder should also mean a greater creativity for the Blue and Whites.

In terms of xGA per match, the King Power side have1.5 where the St Mary’s team have 0.8. Based on both xG and xGA per match adjusted for form over recent matches against average sides, we can see that Leicester can be expected to score one where Southampton can be expected to score one.

If we choose to believe we are improving every match, we should see the Foxes get two goals and concede only one. A 1-2 victory is predicted.

Expected starting XI

The expected starting XI is no surprise. Kasper Schmeichel would start in goal, with a backline of Jonny Evans, Caglar Soyuncu, Luke Thomas, and Timothy Castagne. A strong but swift back four to deal with threats on the counter.

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The midfield would comprise Wilfred Ndidi, Soumare, and Maddison. Up front, a front three of Harvey Barnes, Jamie Vardy, and Ademola Lookman. A creative and pacy attack to build chances in multiple ways. What team do you expect to play against Southampton? Let Foxes of Leicester know on our social media channels.