This campaign has been nothing short of an unmitigated disaster. Even without the six-point deduction recently upheld by an appeal court, the King Power Club would still be at most five points outside the relegation zone (and that is based on Portsmouth, who have a game in hand at the time of writing, being on 42 points). One point per game played is our current sum total; we need that to climb fast.
The final five fixtures have a mix of extremely tough matches for this weak Leicester side, and those we should expect a desperate Blue Army to go out and at the very least get a draw. The problem at the moment is that, regardless of expectations, the mentality, the passion, and the hunger to win just do not seem to remain consistent throughout a match.
Leicester City's remaining fixtures predicted
It seems fruitless, perhaps, to bother trying to predict the future of Gary Rowett's inherited team. From Ruud van Nistelrooy's cut-short run to the poor display from Marti Cifuentes, Rowett's job seems almost impossible. The Foxes should be nowhere near their current position. The task is immense.
Leicester City are 22nd on 41 points, with goal difference the only thing keeping them out of 23rd spot with an identical last 5 match form. Every single point could be the difference between survival and relegation. 15 points to play for, five cup finals, and a desperate situation.
11/04/2026 - Swansea City
Swansea City sit 13 points clear of Rowett's team, although the only glimmer of hope here is that the travellers have lost one additional game compared to the Foxes. Three points in this fixture provided the others all lose their equally tough fixtures (ignoring 24th place, Oxford United play Watford, Portsmouth play Middlesbrough, and West Bromwich Albion play Millwall), obviously, does nothing. However, victory without reply is obviously much more useful.
A single win takes Leicester City out of the relegation zone and to a point behind West Brom. Of course, West Brom may beat Millwall, in which case we would just go ahead of Portsmouth. We only need a draw so long as Portsmouth lose to promotion chasers Middlesbrough to go ahead on goal difference.
Comparing the East Midlands team and Swansea, the away side scores about 1.17 goals per 90 to our 1.29 per 90, and only 1.22 to our 1.49. There is a considerable deficit in our ability to defend, giving away cheap goals from winning positions. This is where Swansea has done well, although scoring less, they squander that lead less. I expect 1-1, a draw. Out of the relegation zone on goal difference.
18/04/2026 - Portsmouth
By the Portsmouth match, the Foxes could have gone ahead, and will need this win to take themselves clear. That being said, with the home side to have a game in hand still (at that time they will still have 15 to play for, where we will have 12), Portsmouth will have time to recover, although their matches are overall tougher than ours.
Based on their fixtures, the other teams in our vicinity should lose or draw their fixtures. At this stage, West Brom will have an easier task than the other teams, so will likely take a draw or win, leaving a win for Leicester, only taking them three points clear of Portsmouth. Should West Brom win that game against Preston North End, the East Midlands outfit would have only nine points to try and climb ahead of a team on better form, almost guaranteed to win their final fixture against Sheffield Wednesday: if West Brom win, the best we can hope for is 21st.
Comparing the home side to what will be the travelling Foxes, we have a much better chance against them. Portsmouth have 0.95 goals per 90, so they will struggle to score, luckily. So long as Leicester City dominate the ball, we should see 0-1 to the King Power side.
21/04/2026 - Hull City
I will not dress this one up. Hull City are currently in the play-offs ahead of Southampton, but not comfortably ahead of Wrexham, who sit just outside the play-offs. They will be fighting for the points against a King Power Club, who will be hoping Oxford United will lose to their tough fixtures, including Wrexham on 21/04/2026. To be fair, I expect Wrexham to win that one since they will be chasing the play-off spots and Southampton.
I expect a loss. That being said, the away side does concede 1.39 per 90. There is an opportunity for Gary Rowett to attack defensive vulnerabilities, since we will concede to Hull. Perhaps this will end a 1-2 win for Hull City, but I do not see Portsmouth beating Coventry or their game in hand on 14/04/2026 against Ipswich Town, so Leicester City should remain outside the relegation zone.
24/04/2026 - Millwall
Millwall are pretty much comfortably in the play-off spots and are in a three-way race for the automatic spot. So, a loss is almost entirely guaranteed for the King Power side. That being said, they are not more creative than we are; what they do have is a slightly better defence throughout a match. It is also the case that their form is quite strong, the only caveat being only one clean sheet in five.
I would expect a 1-2 win for Millwall, but the potential for a 1-1 draw. Even a loss at this stage should be fine. However, the next day sees Oxford United get their chance to get closer to us again, with an almost guaranteed win against Sheffield Wednesday would likely put them a point behind and needing a win on the final day to go ahead of us, while Portsmouth at that stage would likely have their opportunity to go back level with us should they beat Stoke City. I expect a draw there, so that would keep Oxford United behind Portsmouth at that stage.
02/05/2026 - Blackburn Rovers
The final day will be absolutely vital. If the other results go as I expect them to - which they undoubtedly will not - then the Foxes should be a point clear at best outside the relegation zone with both Oxford United and Portsmouth able to get back ahead. However, should we go into the final day three points clear of Portsmouth, we should have survived regardless of the result. In essence, I do not expect our survival - if we survive - to come from our own efforts beyond four points.
This final day will see Portsmouth facing Birmingham, Oxford facing Millwall, and West Brom almost guaranteed a win. Portsmouth should get a draw, Oxford should lose. Blackburn Rovers will have nothing to play for at this point, and Leicester will need a draw or win at this point if everything goes mostly as expected, so that is what I predict: 1-1. One point, survival, barely.
This means my 'best case' for the Foxes will be a total of five to six points out of 15, leaving them just outside the relegation zone. A lot will be determined by how Oxford United and Portsmouth respond to their tough fixtures, and whether Leicester City can do the job against Portsmouth, who they will need to win for any chance at survival.